Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000236 0.000264 0.000294 0.000329 0.000367 0.000409 0.000458
2024-12-15 0.000200 0.000239 0.000283 0.000337 0.000402 0.000476 0.000569
2024-12-22 0.000173 0.000218 0.000273 0.000344 0.000433 0.000542 0.000686
2024-12-29 0.000151 0.000201 0.000263 0.000348 0.000461 0.000605 0.000805
2025-01-05 0.000132 0.000182 0.000250 0.000346 0.000479 0.000657 0.000914
2025-01-12 0.000117 0.000169 0.000241 0.000347 0.000500 0.000714 0.001036
2025-01-19 0.000105 0.000158 0.000234 0.000350 0.000524 0.000776 0.001170
2025-01-26 0.000094 0.000146 0.000223 0.000346 0.000536 0.000821 0.001284
2025-02-02 0.000089 0.000143 0.000226 0.000362 0.000579 0.000916 0.001482
2025-02-09 0.000083 0.000137 0.000223 0.000367 0.000607 0.000989 0.001650
2025-02-16 0.000077 0.000131 0.000219 0.000371 0.000631 0.001059 0.001820
2025-02-23 0.000071 0.000124 0.000213 0.000371 0.000648 0.001117 0.001975
2025-03-02 0.000065 0.000116 0.000205 0.000368 0.000663 0.001175 0.002140
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000110 0.000199 0.000368 0.000682 0.001243 0.002331
2025-03-16 0.000055 0.000105 0.000195 0.000370 0.000704 0.001318 0.002543
2025-03-23 0.000051 0.000100 0.000190 0.000371 0.000725 0.001393 0.002761
2025-03-30 0.000047 0.000094 0.000183 0.000366 0.000735 0.001447 0.002946
2025-04-06 0.000043 0.000089 0.000179 0.000366 0.000752 0.001519 0.003172
2025-04-13 0.000041 0.000086 0.000176 0.000369 0.000776 0.001603 0.003432
2025-04-20 0.000038 0.000081 0.000169 0.000364 0.000784 0.001657 0.003633
2025-04-27 0.000037 0.000081 0.000173 0.000380 0.000838 0.001812 0.004069
2025-05-04 0.000035 0.000079 0.000172 0.000386 0.000870 0.001922 0.004415
2025-05-11 0.000033 0.000076 0.000170 0.000390 0.000898 0.002027 0.004760